A Study on Predicting Crisis Information Dissemination in Epidemic-level Public Health Events

Crisis information dissemination plays a key role in the development of emergency responses to epidemic-level public health events. Therefore, clarifying the causes of crisis information dissemination and making accurate predictions to effectively control such situations have attracted extensive attention. Based on media richness theory and persuasion theory, this study constructs an index system of crisis information dissemination impact factors from two aspects: the crisis information publisher and the published crisis information content. A multi-layer perceptron is used to analyze the weight of the index system, and the prediction is transformed into a pattern classification problem to test crisis information dissemination. In this study, COVID-19 is considered a representative event. An experiment is conducted to predict the crisis information dissemination of COVID-19 in two megacities. Data related to COVID-19 from these two megacities are acquired from the well-known Chinese social media platform Weibo. The experimental results show that not only the identity but also the social influence of the information publisher has a significant impact on crisis information dissemination in epidemic-level public health events. Furthermore, the proposed model achieves more than 95% test accuracy, precision rate, recall value and f1-score in the prediction task. The study provides decision-making support for government departments and a guide for correctly disseminating crisis information and public opinion during future epidemic-level public health events.

Mapping the long-term associations between air pollutants and COVID-19 risks and the attributable burdens in the continental United States.

Numerous studies have investigated the associations between COVID-19 risks and long-term exposure to air pollutants, revealing considerable heterogeneity and even contradictory regional results. Studying the spatial heterogeneity of the associations is essential for developing region-specific and cost-effective air-pollutant-related public health policies for the prevention and control of COVID-19. However, few studies have investigated this issue. Using the USA as an example, we constructed single/two-pollutant conditional autoregressions with random coefficients and random intercepts to map the associations between five air pollutants (PM2.5, O3, SO2, NO2, and CO) and two COVID-19 outcomes (incidence and mortality) at the state level. The attributed cases and deaths were then mapped at the county level. This study included 3108 counties from 49 states within the continental USA. The county-level air pollutant concentrations from 2017 to 2019 were used as long-term exposures, and the county-level cumulative COVID-19 cases and deaths through May 13, 2022, were used as outcomes. Results showed that considerably heterogeneous associations and attributable COVID-19 burdens were found in the USA. The COVID-19 outcomes in the western and northeastern states appeared to be unaffected by any of the five pollutants. The east of the USA bore the greatest COVID-19 burdens attributable to air pollution because of its high pollutant concentrations and significantly positive associations. PM2.5 and CO were significantly positively associated with COVID-19 incidence in 49 states on average, whereas NO2 and SO2 were significantly positively associated with COVID-19 mortality. The remaining associations between air pollutants and COVID-19 outcomes were not statistically significant. Our study provided implications regarding where a major concern should be placed on a specific air pollutant for COVID-19 control and prevention, as well as where and how to conduct additional individual-based validation research in a cost-effective manner.

Challenges of carbon emission reduction by the workshop education pattern.

The COVID-19 pandemic has forced many conferences and educational events to shift from in-person to online, significantly reducing the carbon footprint associated with these activities. Workshops are a common pattern of thematic learning at the university level, usually involving a series of activities, such as gathering, learning, and dining, for participants from different regions. However, unlike a three-day conference, workshops usually last for seven days or more, resulting in a non-negligible carbon footprint. To resolve this challenge, we have developed a model that provides recommendations for minimizing the carbon footprint of workshops. Using data from the DigitalFUTURES International Workshop on architecture education at Tongji University in China, we calculated the carbon footprint of scenarios with varying workshop durations, participation modes, and transportation methods. Our results show that online workshops can reduce the carbon footprint by up to 88% compared to in-person workshops. Hybrid workshops, which combine online and in-person participation, can also lead to significant carbon reductions, with a 46% online participation rate resulting in an 82% reduction in carbon footprint. However, we recommend that in-person participation be maintained to ensure efficient learning and effective communication. Our work provides a sustainable solution for organizing future workshops with a reduced carbon footprint.

Using a novel two-stage strategy to characterize the spatial distribution of associations between temperature and COVID-19: A case study in the continental United States.

BACKGROUND: Numerous studies have studied the association between daily average temperature (DAT) and daily COVID-19 confirmed cases, which show considerable heterogeneity, even opposite results, among different regions. Such heterogeneity suggests that characterizing the association on a large area scale would ignore the local variation, even obtain false results in some local regions. So, characterizing the spatial distribution of heterogeneous DAT-COVID-19 associations and exploring the causes plays an important role on making temperature-related region-specific intervention measures and early-warning systems. METHODS: Aiming to characterize the spatial distribution of associations between DAT and COVID-19 confirmed cases in the continental United States, we proposed a novel two-stage strategy. In the first stage, we used the common stratified distributed lag nonlinear model to obtain the rough state-specific associations. In the second stage, conditional autoregression was used to spatially smooth the rough estimations. Furtherly, based on the idea, two modified strategies were used to investigate the time-varying associations and the modification effects derived from the vaccination campaign. RESULTS: Around one-third of states exhibit no significant association between DAT and daily confirmed COVID-19 cases. Most of the remaining states present a low risk at low DAT and a high risk at high DAT, but several states present opposite associations. The average association curve presents a 'S' shape with positive association between -8 - 18 °C and keeping flat out of the range. An increased vaccination coverage rate will increase the risk when DAT < 12 °C, but slightly affect the risk when DAT > 12 °C. CONCLUSION: A considerable spatial heterogeneity of DAT-COVID-19 associations exists in America and the average association curve presents a 'S' shape. The vaccination campaign significantly modifies the association when DAT is low, but only make a slight modification when DAT is high.

The effect of a short-term Balint group on the communication ability and self-efficacy of pre-examination and triage nurses during COVID-19.

AIMS AND OBJECTIVES: To investigate the effect of a short-term Balint group on the improvement in communication ability and self-efficacy of pre-examination and triage nurses during coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). BACKGROUND: Working on the front lines of COVID-19 has brought unprecedented psychological stress on pre-examination and triage nurses. Nurse-patient communication ability and the level of self-efficacy are both significant for nurses' psychosomatic health and work input. However, limited empirical evidence exists regarding nurse-patient communication and self-efficacy and specific psychological intervention effects. DESIGN: Cross-sectional research fulfilling the completed checklist of items that should be included in reports of cross-sectional studies (Appendix S1). METHODS: Nurses (n = 41) in the first layer of pre-examination and triage were engaged in a Balint group activity twice a week for two weeks. They were assessed with the General Self-Efficacy Scale (GSES) pre- and postintervention, and a nurse-patient communication survey form was developed for further postintervention evaluation. The sample was recruited from a class A third-grade hospital in Sichuan, China. RESULTS: Most of the subjects reported improvement in nurse-patient communication, increased cooperation between patients and their families, and a decreased missed examination rate after the intervention. Moreover, the total mean score of the GSES of nurses after the intervention was increased, but the difference was not statistically significant. The scores of all items in the GSES were improved, and the scores increase for item 4 (I am confident that I can effectively deal with any unexpected event) was statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: During the COVID-19 pandemic, a short-term Balint group activity can improve the communication ability and self-efficacy level of front-line nurses to some extent. RELEVANCE TO CLINICAL PRACTICE: This information may provide some theoretical support for the development of early psychological interventions during major epidemic situations.